Publications — Lucius Caviola

Artificial Intelligence

AI consciousness will divide society

Caviola, L. (2026)

The ML community must prepare for AI consciousness, perceived or real

Caviola, L., Sebo, J., & Mindermann, S. (2026)

Futures with digital minds: Expert forecasts in 2025

Caviola, L. & Saad, B. (2025)

Podcast Website Highlights

What will society think about AI consciousness? Lessons from the animal case

Caviola, L., Sebo, J., & Birch, J. (2025)

Trends in Cognitive Sciences

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Speciesism in AI: evaluating discrimination against animals in large language models

Jotautaitė, M., Caviola, L., Brewster, D. A., & Hagendorff, T. (2025)

The societal response to potentially sentient AI

Caviola, L. (2025)

Reluctance to harm AI

Allen, C. & Caviola, L. (2025)

Public skepticism about AI consciousness

Ladak, A. & Caviola, L. (2025)

Subjective experience in AI systems: What do AI researchers and the public believe?

Dreksler, D., Caviola, L., Allen, C., Lewis, J., Mays, K., Sebo, J., Chalmers, D. (2025)

The social science of digital minds: Research agenda

Caviola, L. (2024)

Increasing concern for digital beings through LLM persuasion

Allen, C. & Caviola, L. (2024)

Digital minds takeoff scenarios

Saad, B. & Caviola, L. (2024)

AI can outperform humans in predicting correlations between personality items

Schoenegger, P., Greenberg, S., Lewis, J., & Caviola, L. (2024)

Nature Communications Psychology

Global Catastrophic Risk

Crying wolf: Warning about societal risks can be reputationally risky

Caviola, L.*, Coleman, M.*, Lewis, J.*, & Winter, C. (2024) *equal contribution

Revise and Resubmit at Psychological Science

Summary

Communicating tail-risk credibly

Neto, L. M., Lewis, J., & Caviola, L. (2025)

It only takes one: Unilateral decisions arise from failures of reasoning

Lewis, J., Allen, C., & Caviola, L. (2024)

Beliefs about the end of humanity: How bad, likely, and important is human extinction?

Coleman, M.*, Caviola, L.*, Lewis, J., & Goodwin, G. (2024) *equal contribution

Misjudgment exacerbates collective action problems

Lewis, J., Srna, S., Morrissey, E., Wilks, M., Winter, C., & Caviola, L. (2024)

Revise and Resubmit at Journal of Experimental Psychology: General

Temporal distance reduces ingroup favoritism

Schubert, S., Caviola, L., Savulescu, J. & Faber, N.S. (2025)

Essays on Longtermism. Oxford University Press

Population ethical intuitions

Caviola, L., Althaus, D., Mogensen, A., & Goodwin, G. (2022)

Cognition

The psychology of existential risk: Moral judgments about human extinction

Schubert, S.*, Caviola, L.*, & Faber, N.S. (2019) *equal contribution

Scientific Reports

Effective Giving

Effective altruism and the human mind

Schubert, S. & Caviola, L. (2024)

Oxford University Press

Boosting the impact of charitable giving with donation bundling and micromatching

Caviola, L. & Greene, J.D. (2023)

Science Advances

Project Syndicate LA Times

Investigating (sequential) unit asking: An unsuccessful quest for scope sensitivity in willingness to donate judgments

Maier, M., Caviola, L., Schubert, S., & Harris, A. J. (2023)

Journal of Behavioral Decision Making

How many students are familiar with and sympathetic towards effective altruism?

Caviola, L., Morrissey, E., & Lewis, J. (2022)

What psychological traits predict interest in effective altruism?

Caviola, L., Althaus, D., Schubert, S., & Lewis, J. (2022)

The psychology of (in)effective altruism

Caviola, L., Schubert, S., & Greene, J.D. (2021)

Trends in Cognitive Sciences

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Donors vastly underestimate differences in charities' effectiveness

Caviola, L.*, Schubert, S.*, Teperman, E., Moss, D., Greenberg, S., & Faber, N.S. (2020) *equal contribution

Judgment and Decision Making

The many obstacles to effective giving

Caviola, L.*, Schubert, S.*, & Nemirow, J. (2020) *equal contribution

Judgment and Decision Making

Evaluability bias in charitable giving: Saving administration costs or saving lives?

Caviola, L., Faulmüller, N, Everett, J.A.C., Savulescu, J., & Kahane, G. (2014)

Judgment and Decision Making

Doing good by doing nothing? The role of social norms in explaining default effects in altruistic contexts

Everett, J.A.C., Caviola, L., Kahane, G., Savulescu, J., & Faber, N. (2014)

European Journal of Social Psychology

Animals

When development constricts our moral circles

Marshall, J., Wilks, M., Caviola, L., & Neldner, K. (2025)

Nature Human Behavior

Summary

Becoming speciesist: How children and adults differ in valuing animals by species and cognitive capacity

Caviola, L.*, Wilks, M.*, et al. (2025) *equal contribution

Personality and Social Psychology Bulletin

Children value animals more than adults do: A conceptual replication and extension

Paruzel-Czachura, M., Maier, M., Warmuz, R., Wilks, M., & Caviola, L. (2024)

Personality and Social Psychology Bulletin

Humans first: Why people value animals less than humans

Caviola, L., Schubert, S., Kahane, G., & Faber, N.S. (2022)

Cognition

Are the folk utilitarian about animals?

Kahane, G., & Caviola, L. (2022)

Philosophical Studies

Children prioritize humans over animals less than adults do

Wilks, M.*, Caviola, L.*, Kahane, G., & Bloom, P. (2021) *equal contribution

Psychological Science

Utilitarianism for animals, Kantianism for people? Harming animals and humans for the greater good

Caviola, L., Kahane, G., Everett, J.A.C, Teperman, E., Savulescu, J., & Faber, N.S. (2020)

Journal of Experimental Psychology: General

Watch Talk

The moral standing of animals: Towards a psychology of speciesism

Caviola, L., Everett, J.A.C., & Faber, N.S. (2019)

Journal of Personality and Social Psychology

Speciesism Scale (English) Speziesismus Skala (German) Speciesisme Schaal (Dutch) 種差別尺度 (Japanese) סולם ספסיזם (Hebrew) Türcülük Ölçeği (Turkish) مقیاس گونه‌پرستی (Persian)

Liking but devaluing animals: Emotional and deliberative paths to speciesism

Caviola, L. & Capraro, V. (2020)

Social Psychological and Personality Science

Speciesism, generalized prejudice, and perceptions of prejudiced others

Everett, J.A.C., Caviola, L., Savulescu, J., & Faber, N.S. (2019)

Group Processes and Intergroup Relations

How we value animals: the psychology of speciesism

Caviola, L. (2019)

Doctoral dissertation, University of Oxford

Ethics

Signaling (in)tolerance: the reputational implications of metaethical relativism and objectivism

Moss, D., Montealegre, A., Bush, L. S., Caviola, L., & Pizarro, D. (2025)

Cognition

Moral psychology and utilitarianism

Caviola, L. & Greene, J. (2024)

An Introduction to Utilitarianism

Virtues for real-world utilitarians

Schubert, S. & Caviola, L. (2021)

An Introduction to Utilitarianism

Should you save the more useful? The effect of generality on moral judgments about rescue and indirect effects

Caviola, L., Schubert, S., & Mogensen, A. (2020)

Cognition

Beyond sacrificial harm: positive and negative dimensions of utilitarian psychology

Kahane, G., Everett, J.A.C., Earp, B.D., Caviola, L., Faber, N.S., Crockett, M.J., & Savulescu, J. (2017)

Psychological Review

SPSP Daniel M. Wegner Theoretical Innovation Prize (2018)

Oxford Utilitarianism Scale (English) Oxford Utilitarismus Skala (German)

Moral hypocrisy in economic games—how prosocial behavior is shaped by social expectations

Caviola, L. & Faulmüller, N. (2014)

Frontiers in Psychology

How stress influences our morality

Caviola, L. & Faber, N.S. (2014)

The Inquisitive Mind

Bioethics

Will human-animal chimeras cause moral confusion? Exploring public attitudes

Devolder, K., Rottman, J., Xiao, Q., Kahane, G., Caviola, L., Yip, L., & Faber, N. (2025)

Journal of Bioethical Inquiry

Recognizing the diversity of cognitive enhancements

Veit, W., Earp, B. D., Faber, N., Bostrom, N., Caouette, J., Mannino, A., Caviola, L., Sandberg, A., & Savulescu, J. (2020)

AJOB Neuroscience

Nudging immunity: the case for opt out vaccination of children in school and day care

Giubilini, A., Caviola, L., Maslen, H., Douglas, T., Nussberger, A. M., Faber, N., Vanderslott, S., Loving, S., Harrison, M., & Savulescu, J. (2019)

HEC Forum

Worth living or worth dying? The views of the general public about allowing disabled children to die

Brick, C., Kahane, G., Wilkinson, D., Caviola, L., & Savulescu, J. (2019)

Journal of Medical Ethics

Is the non-identity problem relevant to public health and policy? An online survey

Doolabh, K., Caviola, L., Savulescu, J., Selgelid, M., & Wilkinson, D. (2019)

BMC Medical Ethics

Zika, contraception and the non-identity problem

Doolabh, K., Caviola, L., Savulescu, J., Selgelid, M., & Wilkinson, D. J. (2017)

Developing World Bioethics

Pills or push-ups? Effectiveness and public perception of pharmacological and non-pharmacological cognitive enhancement

Caviola, L. & Faber, N. (2015)

Frontiers in Psychology

Attitudes towards pharmacological cognitive enhancement – a review

Schelle K. S., Faber, N., Caviola, L., & Hewstone, M. (2014)

Frontiers in Systems Neuroscience

Biases affecting moral intuitions about cognitive enhancement

Caviola, L., Mannino, A., Savulescu, J., & Faulmüller, N. (2014)

Frontiers in Systems Neuroscience